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发表于 2014-7-1 06:21:48
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promote production."
said the central bank 09 years China's GDP growth is likely to exceed 8%
the two quarter of next year's economic recovery after
through the analysis of the model, Yi Gang pointed out, the first domestic enterprise inventory is in the fierce adjustment. Maximum results in a drastic adjustment of domestic enterprises, dependence on imported raw materials will be greatly reduced,tn pas cher, the import and export share of GDP will be reduced to between 15% to 20%.
for a more detailed master China economic trend, the central bank to take inventory of the reference system, the updated conclusion. Inventory model tracking is the inventory of raw materials, finished goods inventory, and some work in process inventory data. This is the core of economic theory,chaussures louboutin, "inventory is procyclical, rising cycle of the economy, the enterprise stock increases,nike tn requin, promote production."
Vice President
Yi Gang said, according to GDP data the original production method, will show the decline in economic growth quickly. Production method to calculate the GDP, namely the first and two or three industry, digital. From a statistical point of view, the three industry growth in August is 12.8%,spaccio hogan marche, September is 11.4%, November is 5.4%. From August to November, four consecutive months of decline faster.
Yi lists a series of numbers, that heavy industry adjustment pressures. In November the central bank monitoring heavy industry growth of only 3.4%, 8.1 more than in September dropped% >
according to the observation, substantial inventory adjustment began in September of this year. 500 enterprises central detection of the inventory in October has been negative growth, the inventory of raw materials and finished goods inventory are negative growth. This drastic adjustment shows two characteristics: first, because the economic cycle changes, the world entered the downward cycle. According to the central bank inventory cycle theory,hogan interactive outlet, enterprises should reduce inventory. At the same time,scarpe hogan outlet milano, sharp fluctuations in raw material prices of commodities such as crude oil, also contributed Chinese enterprise inventory adjustment speed.
Yi summary, inventory adjustment is reflected in the import and export, has three effects: first of all raw materials greatly reduce imports; second is to make the upstream production enterprise finished goods inventory passive increase; finally the magnitude and pressure adjustment upstream heavy industry is much higher than the light industry.
central bank, next year GDP guarantee eight success, or it may be slightly higher than 8%." The people's Bank of China (referred to as the Central Bank Deputy Governor Yi Gang ") at the Peking University PE the first year" said in a speech. Yi Gang hope "firm of a future Chinese economic growth confidence". Comprehensive analysis of the results of this judgment from the central bank introduced the enterprise inventory model and the latest survey of the national key provincial enterprises.
"The results of the latest survey by the
data from the central bank, the period of adjustment will be completed in the two quarter of next year,scarpe hogan uomo, the enterprise will resume normal operation,tn pas cher, the economic recovery began to appear. With the macro policy stability,air max pas cher, Chinese economy during the global crisis,hogan uomo, can maintain stable growth. Yi said,hogan outlet 2014, the two quarter of next year the central bank will focus on the observation of industrial growth index,ray ban wayfarer, this is a turning point in the economic recovery.
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